BTC Price Prediction
BTC Technical Analysis: Short-term Correction Pressure Coexists with Long-term Bullish Signals
According to BTCC financial analyst Ava's technical analysis, BTC's current price (104,302.33 USDT) is slightly below the 20-day moving average (106,600.51), indicating potential short-term correction pressure. However, the MACD indicator shows a strong bullish crossover (+2,233.27), and the Bollinger Bands remain expanded (upper band 111,260.85/lower band 101,940.16), suggesting increased volatility and upward potential. 'The price is digesting selling pressure from political uncertainty, but surging on-chain activity and institutional accumulation signs provide solid bottom support,' Ava noted.
Institutional Buying Amid Policy Fluctuations: BTC Market Sentiment Turns Cautiously Optimistic
BTCC analyst Ava interprets recent news events: 'Despite the Trump-Musk dispute triggering $324 million in futures liquidations, Metaplanet's announcement of a $5.4 billion BTC acquisition plan (targeting 1% of total supply) and Yuda Logistics' intention to acquire 15,000 BTC through equity exchange demonstrate institutional-level demand offsetting political risks.' Russia's cancellation of mining restrictions further strengthens long-term infrastructure benefits.
Factors Affecting BTC Price
Bitcoin Faces Volatility in Trump-Musk Dispute, Net Inflow Plummets
Bitcoin's resilience is being tested, with political drama injecting new volatility into the crypto market. After Elon Musk and former President Donald Trump's public conflict on platform X, the cryptocurrency dropped 5%. This dispute over the 'Beautiful Law' immediately triggered trader reactions, with Binance recording the largest net inflow decline in 2025 - plummeting from $20 million to -$135 million in eight hours.
Analyst Darkfost noted this marks the most significant trader behavior change this year, highlighting the crypto market's sensitivity to political developments. Although Bitcoin has rebounded from the $100,000 support level, resistance lies ahead. The market is closely watching whether this correction will deepen or become a springboard for the next rally.
Bitcoin Futures Suffer $324 Million Liquidation Due to Political Turmoil
Bitcoin plummeted to $100,000 after a fierce selloff triggered by escalating tensions between former US President Trump and Elon Musk. Dropping from a high of $105,900, it became one of the most severe single-day declines in recent weeks, with CryptoQuant data showing total futures market long liquidations of $324 million.
Binance records show 2,500 BTC inflows, with total exchange reserves rising to 32,000 BTC. Bitcoin futures open interest decreased by $600 million to $34.2 billion, indicating capital outflows during increased volatility. The 30-day funding rate turned negative for the first time, reflecting an overwhelmingly bearish market positioning.
The current market structure favors bears, with traders expecting further declines. The Trump-Musk dispute injected abnormal political risk into the crypto market, challenging even experienced investors. One prominent trader reported consecutive liquidations during this downturn.
Crypto Market Optimism Soars, Bitcoin and Meme Coins Hit Historic Highs
As Bitcoin surged to a historic high of $111,814 on May 2nd, the crypto market is experiencing a wave of optimism. Analysts predict Bitcoin could climb to $150,000 by year-end if the political environment is favorable. As the flagship cryptocurrency, Bitcoin's $2 trillion market cap continues to support the entire $3.38 trillion digital asset ecosystem.
Meme coins like Pepe, Trump, SPX6900, and FartCoin also reflect this bull market sentiment, each reaching historic highs in the past six months. This rally demonstrates growing institutional investment interest and robust fundamentals for some projects.
Bitcoin currently trades at $104,292, up 0.3% in 24 hours. Market observers note that focused communities and active development teams are driving ongoing momentum in the sector.
Bitcoin On-Chain Activity Surges Despite Weak Price Performance
The Bitcoin blockchain network is experiencing significant activity growth, despite struggling to maintain upward momentum. On-chain indicators show the highest daily network growth and token circulation surge this year, suggesting potential strong underlying dynamics even under bearish conditions.
Santiment data reveals 556,883 new wallet addresses created on May 29th, the highest since December 2023. On June 2nd, the network processed 241,360 token transactions, marking the busiest day since December 2024. This fundamental activity surge starkly contrasts with BTC's recent price drop to critical support levels.
The divergence between price trends and network indicators suggests increasing confidence among long-term holders and new entrants. This on-chain vitality typically signals market reactivation, despite current bearish pressure affecting short-term price performance.
Metaplanet Announces Ambitious $5.4 Billion Bitcoin Acquisition Plan, Targeting 1% of BTC Supply
Metaplanet announced a bold strategy to accumulate 210,000 BTC by 2027 - equivalent to 1% of Bitcoin's total supply. The Tokyo-based company will fund this historic acquisition through a $5.4 billion equity issuance (involving 555 million mobile movement warrants), which will be the largest such action in Japanese stock market history.
The company's previous '2.1 billion plan' demonstrated exceptional execution, raising $650 million in just 60 trading days, achieving a 189% Bitcoin yield, and tripling its stock price. Metaplanet currently holds 8,888 BTC (valued at $919 million), ranking first among Asian enterprises and eighth globally in Bitcoin holdings.
CEO Simon Gerovich's balanced financing approach, combining strategic equity issuance with debt management, has used stock issuance proceeds to prepay several bonds. This latest action indicates growing institutional confidence in Bitcoin as a core treasury asset among Asian companies.
Yuda Logistics Technology Group to Exchange Equity for Cryptocurrency, Milestone Transaction Aims to Acquire Up to 15,000 Bitcoins
Nasdaq-listed Yuta Logistics Technology Group has signed a breakthrough agreement to acquire up to 15,000 BTC (valued at approximately $1.5 billion) using company equity as payment. This transaction becomes one of the largest enterprise-level Bitcoin acquisitions since MicroStrategy began actively accumulating Bitcoin in 2020.
This share-for-Bitcoin transaction structure brings new dynamics to institutional cryptocurrency adoption. The final share issuance will be determined through negotiations linked to both BTC market price and Yuta's stock performance—creating a unique correlation between traditional stock markets and digital asset valuation.
Company executives position this move as strategic capital management rather than speculative investment. These Bitcoin reserves will support Yuta's ambitious blockchain plans, including DeFi integration in freight financing and logistics asset tokenization. This reflects the growing trend of forward-thinking enterprises balancing cash reserves with cryptocurrency allocation.
Russia Revokes Cryptocurrency Mining Restrictions Due to Tax Considerations
The Russian Federal Government has withdrawn its previous proposed cryptocurrency mining ban, primarily due to potential tax and energy revenue decline. This decision was announced after the June 5th electricity industry development committee meeting, temporarily suspending previously planned restrictions affecting multiple regions.
The committee led by Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak rejected local government requests to prohibit mining operations, particularly in the Khakassia Republic, where officials failed to prove sufficient electricity shortages. This highlights Moscow's increasing recognition of cryptocurrency mining's economic contributions—both in direct taxes and energy sector profits.
This policy shift occurs while Bitcoin miners continue operating near the Finnish border and around Lake Baikal in Siberia, areas previously targeted for electricity consumption control. The government emphasized via Telegram that maintaining income sources takes precedence over addressing local officials' concerns about grid stress.
BTC Price Prediction: Outlook for 2025, 2030, 2035, 2040
| Year | Price Range Prediction (USDT) | Key Driving Factors |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 95,000-135,000 | Halving Effect, Spot ETF Capital Flows |
| 2030 | 240,000-400,000 | Institutionalization of Allocation, Layer 2 Scaling |
| 2035 | 650,000-1,200,000 | Sovereign Nation Reserves, Smart Contract Platform Maturity |
| 2040 | 1,800,000-3,500,000 | Global Settlement Layer Establishment, Scarcity Premium |
AVA emphasizes: 'Current technical indicators show Bitcoin is in the mid-stage of a typical bull market cycle, potentially testing historical highs in 2025 driven by halving effects and improved regulatory clarity. Long-term, corporate balance sheet allocations (like the Metaplanet case) and national-level adoption will become primary price anchors after 2030, with 2040 potentially generating a Gold 2.0 valuation model due to the 21 million supply hard cap.'
