对于 $ETH 我始终的观点还是在于，如果没有流动性释放包括罗素2000在内的小盘股就不会爆发，即便是投资者短期押注板块轮动也未必会有太大的涨幅，而 ETH 如果不涨，普遍的山寨季就很难出现。

这次行情从4月23日调整开始，我就给自己定下的战略框架：
1，比特币已经不重要，比特币不死很重要；
2，重点关注E系，以及一些结构没破位的山寨；
3，目标是看大饼可能的第二波，可能带来的币圈二级山寨行情。
一， $BTC
1，从111980→100372的调整是一个完整的三锯齿形态的调整；

陈桂林

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My view on $ETH has always been that without liquidity release, including small-cap stocks like the Russell 2000, there won't be a surge, and even if investors make short-term bets on sector rotation, the gains may not be significant. If ETH doesn't rise, the general altcoin season will be difficult to emerge.

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According to the technical analysis by BTCC financial analyst Olivia, the current ETH price is 2,489.90 USDT, which is below the 20-day moving average (2,560.04), indicating short-term weakness. The MACD indicator shows a positive value (25.18), but the signal line remains in the negative zone (-30.96), suggesting that momentum may be accumulating. The Bollinger Bands show that the price is near the lower band (2,428.38), which may provide support. Olivia noted that if ETH can hold the 2,400 support level, ...

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