Cryptocurrency investment carries high risk, with potentially significant price volatility, and you may lose all of your principal. Please carefully assess the risks.
Coinbase's stock price recently surged nearly 40%, reaching a four-year high. Bernstein cited multiple reasons for believing Coinbase is undervalued, raising the COIN target price from $310 to $510. After Circle, the US stablecoin giant, went public, its stock price continued to rise, briefly approaching $300. Some investors are considering switching to COIN or arbitraging by selling CRCL and buying COIN.

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ToggleBernstein Cites Multiple Reasons: Coinbase is Undervalued
Bernstein analysts raised Coinbase's (COIN) target price from $310 to $510 based on higher profit forecasts, new growth drivers, and a revised valuation framework.
Coinbase is the only native cryptocurrency company in the S&P 500 index and is considered one of the most undervalued stocks. Bernstein's report highlighted the exchange's diverse business lines, including:
- Leading US cryptocurrency exchange
- Custody services for most Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF issuers
- Base blockchain (Ethereum's fastest-growing Layer 2)
- Key hub for tokenization, including the proposed JPMD token with JPMorgan Chase
- Expected to be a major beneficiary of US stablecoin and cryptocurrency market structure legislation
- Coinbase's revenue from Circle's USDC stablecoin
- Acquisition of Deribit derivatives exchange, indicating plans to expand services globally
Bernstein believes Coinbase's market share remains solid despite new competition. Coinbase's commission rates remain unchanged, while competitors like Robinhood have raised rates to comparable levels. Traditional brokers' competition is still months away from launch.
After Coinbase's Q1 2025 earnings report, Bernstein updated its valuation model to reflect stronger growth, particularly in derivatives, staking, and stablecoin-related revenue. The company currently predicts 2025 revenue of $9.5 billion, with non-trading business revenue around $4.2 billion. Analyst projections for 2026 and 2027 revenues were raised to $12.7 billion and $14.1 billion, respectively, reflecting growth in trading and non-trading segments.
Analysts predict Coinbase's earnings per share will rise to $17.92 in 2026 and $20.38 in 2027 as operational leverage improves profitability. Bernstein's $510 target price is based on a 25x price-to-earnings ratio at the end of 2027, in line with industry peers.
COIN Rises Nearly 40% in a Week, Missed Circle? Consider Buying Coinbase?
Circle, the US stablecoin giant, has seen its stock price continuously rise since its official listing on 6/5, briefly approaching $300.
Some perspectives suggest that as Coinbase is a long-term partner of Circle and likely holds CRCL through stock exchanges in the early stages, investors who missed Circle's rally could consider buying COIN or arbitrage by selling CRCL and buying COIN, which might be one reason for COIN's nearly 40% rise in the past week.
(Circle Continues to Rise, Ark Becomes the Largest Winner on the Table, Is It Possible to Buy Coinbase Instead of Missing CRCL?)
Risk Warning
Cryptocurrency investment carries high risk, with potentially significant price volatility, and you may lose all of your principal. Please carefully assess the risks.