
                                    <div>
                                      <h3>Market View</h3>
                                      <p>Bearish on BTC in September, bullish in October</p>
                                      <h3>Trading Strategy</h3>
                                      <p>If August is green, consider shorting in September and going long again in October</p>
                                      <h3>Core Logic</h3>
                                      <p>Seasonal pattern after halvings: July and August green, September red, October rebound</p>
                                    </div>
                                    

In all prior post-halving years (2013, 2017, 2021), #Bitcoin was green in July and August, then red in September.
So far this year we have a green July. If August is also green, we might get a seasonal drop in September before a bounce in October.

Signal Square

Twitter

According to Lookonchain on X, Bitcoin has declined in August and September in 8 of the past 12 years, reflecting a 67% historical probability of price drops during these months.

Bitcoin faces 67% odds of August–September decline

US spot crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs) stumbled into August with nearly $1 billion in combined outflows, ending what had been a strong run in July.
Data from SoSoValue revealed that investors pul...

Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs See Massive Setback After a Record Month

Hayes suggested that markets will be impacted by President Trump's tariffs and a weaker-than-expected US jobs report, predicting a bearish scenario for crypto