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Regarding Humanity, everyone is excited, but looking at the current PR situation, it needs a cold splash of water.
First, Humanity announces an airdrop at this time, and leaves no room in PR, with the founder personally engaging in confrontation, which at least indicates two points:
1. The listing matter is already set in stone, and the listing offer is likely signed with the date already determined.
At this point, unless there's an unexpected event affecting compliance or substantive contract terms, the listing is highly unlikely to be affected.
This conclusion can be drawn from previous projects with similar airdrop distribution disputes that still successfully listed. Exchanges have no alignment with early airdrop users, and instead view these "on-chain users" as opposing traders, which is beneficial to exchange users by compressing non-exchange distribution shares.
2. The project team's cash-out strategy doesn't require a good market reputation.
Now is an era where retail investors can make money without spot market pumping, and market manipulation is naturally a principle. The current spot market liquidity cannot support the financing and valuation scale of this project's cash-out, and it would be even more impossible without Binance listing.
So there's only one explanation: short-selling to cash out through derivatives.
We've seen reasonable crisis PR, from better examples like UMA and Cetus to more rigid ones like Red Stone. But Humanity, confronting users to the end? Have we ever seen something like this?
What if what you see is exactly what the team wants you to see?
The team knows that as a zero-effort project, regardless of how much Yapper promotes it, market expectations are definitely to sell upon listing. Without waves, it means no more potential for gaming = no more liquidity participation.
But creating drama changes everything: drama brings network-wide traffic. Since the listing is already determined, they'll fully utilize black/red traffic.
IQ 50-100 individuals will be indignant and call for shorting, with short positions potentially much larger than initially expected. Those with IQ 150 might anticipate this and consider gaming the short.
The team's airdrop token recovery is absolutely high-control - they can initially dump with the airdrop, attracting short positions saying "See, I told you they're finished!" Then suddenly raise prices to squeeze shorts in the middle of the night, waiting for accumulated reverse trading volume before continuing to dump spot.
Of course, these are just logical speculations, with exchanges having their own risk control. But undoubtedly, traffic amplification will significantly increase the depth and richness of the listing game. A boring project might thus change its fundamentals.
Ultimately, before TGE, reputation means nothing to traders not involved in zero-effort or primary markets - the only difference is traffic, following the same logic as memecoins.
If you're a news trader or a "Shandong trader" skilled in new coin manipulation logic like @btc_alert_, this is an excellent trading opportunity. If your derivatives skills are limited, it's advisable to ignore this - the intensity might not suit you.
There is no easy money in the bloody arena.
Lastly, there are indeed specialized commercial orders specifically requested by project teams to FUD projects (not hit pieces).

Mirror Tang
@mirrorzk
网络乞丐真是典中典 这说明什么?这说明Humanity怎么也能跟塔子哥平起平坐了

I'm just lucky. It's hard to play TGE recently. Expectations change too quickly.
This is the script I expected. You said it out loud, and now I have to predict their predictions. Anyway, I don’t care about my face anymore, and I have the contract. Now I will harvest you leeks with a strong sense of justice.
Reverse, reverse, and reverse again, predict, predict, and predict again
It's really a done deal, I feel like I've taken a lot of it to release alpha
So is the contract going up or down?
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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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